Avaliação Probabilística de Risco Aplicação a Sistemas de Geração de Energia Elétrica

Authors

  • G.M. Cordeiro
  • C.T. Cristino

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5540/tema.2009.010.02.0145

Abstract

Neste artigo, serão apresentados os principais conceitos e técnicas utilizadas na Avaliação Probabilística de Risco, com ênfase às aplicações no sistema de geração e transmissão de energia elétrica. O estudo de PRA – sigla de Probabilistic Risk Assessment, trabalha com modelagem para sistemas markovianos de estados: dado um conjunto finito S (equipamentos) para cujos elementos está definido um segundo conjunto também finito de estados, existe uma taxa de transição entre tais estados que indica uma probabilidade de uma certa configuração de S que é função apenas da conjuração no tempo anterior (no caso discreto). Dois métodos comumente utilizados em análise de PRA são MCS – Minimum Cut Set, conjunto de cortes mínimos, e os Diagramas Binários de Decisão (BDD). Outros métodos, tais como redes bayesianas, também são aplicáveis.

References

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Published

2009-06-01

How to Cite

Cordeiro, G., & Cristino, C. (2009). Avaliação Probabilística de Risco Aplicação a Sistemas de Geração de Energia Elétrica. Trends in Computational and Applied Mathematics, 10(2), 145–154. https://doi.org/10.5540/tema.2009.010.02.0145

Issue

Vol. 10 No. 2 (2009)

Section

Original Article

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